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BanksPitch Signal Levels

Not every interesting score should be treated as a pick. This page separates useful tracking data from the selections BanksPitch would actually put its name behind.

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The rule: 65–74 is Interest only. 75+ is a BanksPitch Pick. A pick becomes a Strong Signal only at 80+ and after every extra quality gate also passes.
Interest
65–74
Worth investigating

These scores are stored and measured so we can learn from them, but they are not BanksPitch Picks.

BanksPitch Pick
75+
Official selection level

This is the current minimum evidence score for a selection to count as a BanksPitch Pick.

Strong Signal candidate
80+
Extra quality gate required

An 80+ score alone is not enough. HIGH data confidence, adequate samples, multiple supporting indicators and no major opposing evidence must also pass.

Live performance by level

The original stored scores never change. These figures simply group the permanent record using the current BanksPitch policy.

Loading tracked interest
Loading BanksPitch Picks
Loading 80+ scores

Why keep 65–74?

Because removing lower-confidence forecasts would throw away useful evidence. Tracking them lets us test whether the model really becomes more accurate as its score rises.

If 65–74 performs poorly while 75+ performs much better, that supports the higher pick threshold. If a particular market behaves differently, we can see that too.

Why not call every 80+ score a Strong Signal?

A high score can still be built on incomplete data. Strong Signals therefore need the score and the quality checks. That prevents a flashy number from bypassing poor samples or conflicting evidence.

See Strong Signal rules

Current policy

Loading policy
No history is rewritten. Older forecasts keep their original evidence score, model version, kickoff time and result. The current thresholds only decide how those stored scores are grouped for today’s reporting.